Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,165 at 2 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,585 at 3 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC.
3. r = 84585.03 / 85165.16 − 1 = -0.68%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.68% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology