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Leaderboard / @Pentosh1 / 2105708675738255476:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 Oct 2026, 17:17 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Pe

🐧

@Pentosh1

$BTC consolidation almost done and ready for the next move up. Would like to see a move towards 90k in the short term https://t.co/xal3fZ91AF

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,873 at 1 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,760 at 2 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 84760 / 84872.88 − 1 = -0.13%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.13% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$BTC consolidation almost done and ready for the next move up.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

neutral

Baseline price

$84,873

Evaluation price

$84,760

Move

-0.13%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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