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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2105572424058077364:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 Oct 2026, 08:16 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$USDT Dominance - Update I would personally like to see the lows tested today to fill this range more. Meaning we should some small upside on Bitcoin + Crypto. https://t.co/f0x6BYe7pu

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,515 at 1 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,236 at 2 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 86235.65 / 83515.09 − 1 = +3.26%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +3.26% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “Meaning we should some small upside on Bitcoin + Crypto.”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$83,515

Evaluation price

$86,236

Move

+3.26%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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