Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,697 at 1 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,484 at 2 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC.
3. r = 85483.53 / 83697.26 − 1 = +2.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology