Published 30 Sept 2026, 19:23 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC
Krzysztof #BTC
@Krzyszt40559764
In reply to · 30 Sept 2026, 19:15 UTC · context given to the AI
That's it, guys. Quarterly close is 4 hours away. Three months ago, I said the lows were in and that the next quarter would mark the start of a predominantly bullish phase. I also said that by the end of the quarter, we would most likely be closer to 100k than 40k. Today, we're less than 20% away from 100k and more than 50% away from 40k. It's October, and the lows held. While it hasn't done so in USD yet, I've already covered how BTC vs Gold is closing this quarter above fair value, right on time as per history. I said I would leave X if I was wrong and if the quarterly close came in lower. But here we are, and I've decided to leave anyway. 😂 When I'm away, remember that my first assumption in markets is always: "Anything can happen." My final invalidation to the thesis remains a new low being put in. Historically, we've never had a new low during the accumulation and expansion phases. All the very best to each and every one of you for the rest of the cycle. It's been a real pleasure. ❤️@GeoMetric_9 Congrats! ✅️🫰Obviously, anything is possible in the markets, but I’ve got a feeling $250k is closer than new lows. Maybe I’m just being too optimistic, but somehow $250k feels more likely to me than Bitcoin making new lows 😄View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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