Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,730 at 30 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,692 at 1 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 2691.74 / 2730.01 − 1 = -1.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology