Published 30 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
₿IRB
@crypto_birb
Midterm Septembers never closed green. Until today. The 16-year book pins it at -5.76% average and green only 4/10 times. Midterms made it worse: -10.18% avg. But September 2026 closed +6.59%. Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year and now best quarter on the record is about to start. Octobers are associated with violent reversals. 16-year base averages +17.51% with a 68.75% win rate. Midterm years average is +29.91%. But it gets better. Q4 hits +45.26% avg gain, green 56.25% of the time. Fun fact: best Q4 rose +770.91%. Imagine btc pulling casually almost 8x in next 3 months. That was 2013. But yeah, when the market ignores its own worst setup, better not stand in its way. It's party time.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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