Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Sept 2026, 17:53 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

That Martini Guy ₿

@MartiniGuyYT

$100k BITCOIN BY YEAR END! 35% chance on Poly What do you think? 👇🏻 https://t.co/tPV7clx1yE https://t.co/e0EgdOG6kj

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$100k BITCOIN BY YEAR END!”
Confidence: 57%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (57%); Unsupported horizon: "unspecified timeframe"
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3