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Published 29 Sept 2026, 12:22 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Quoting · 15 Sept 2026, 19:07 UTC · context given to the AI
It is time. I’ve taken another continuation long on $BTC. Average entry: 76.4K. Hard stop 62.8K, around the entry of my existing 2x long. Note: This is a seperate position from my current long at 62.6K.Max pain is watching the price trend higher whilst you are sidelined. I’m looking for hedges in the low-90Ks on $BTC. Everything in between is noise, imo. I’m not interested in trying to capture a potential move below 80K, I’d rather trade with the trend. I see a lot of people comparing current PA to the 2023 cycle, where BTC flushed below the previous wick low before pushing higher. In this case, it would be 75 > 90K. It is within the realm of possibility, but I would not become married to that idea. Cycles are gradually shifting, this bear market bottomed after a 54% decline, compared with roughly 76% in the previous cycle. The dynamics are materially different. This is simply what I expect personally.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 85258.3 / 84308.87 − 1 = +1.1%d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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