Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,636 at 28 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,221 at 29 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 84221.33 / 82636.22 − 1 = +1.92%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.92% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology