Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $82,915 at 28 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $86,235 at 5 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 86235.28 / 82915.34 − 1 = +4.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -4.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology