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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 27 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

The SEC just gave crypto the clarity it needed. Most crypto assets are not securities. $ETH is still below $3,000. And people think $10,000 Ethereum is crazy? The road to $10K has already started. https://t.co/a91VESj4Y6

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,686 at 27 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,686 at 28 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 2686.32 / 2685.5 − 1 = +0.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH is still below $3,000.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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