Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,449 at 27 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $85,235 at 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 85235 / 84449.48 − 1 = +0.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology