Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,862 at 27 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,909 at 28 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 82909.17 / 84861.72 − 1 = -2.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology