Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,718 at 27 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,643 at 28 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 2642.7 / 2717.68 − 1 = -2.76%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.76% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology