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Published 24 Sept 2026, 11:13 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
Quoting · 21 Sept 2026, 17:57 UTC · context given to the AI
In #BTC Bull Markets you’re always one -10% to -30% pullback away from a great entry And if such a retrace were to occur in the near future then there’s a good chance Bitcoin would revisit prices not very, very far away from the $58k lows You don’t have to buy the absolute lows to do well in a Bitcoin Bull Market After all, the very few who manage to buy the absolute lows may also mistime the Bull Market top and sell too early The aim is to capture the majority of the trend and the key going forward will be to buy on any deeper future pullbacks $BTC #Bitcoin#BTC It's always very tempting to just assume Bitcoin will go on and produce -30% pullbacks in Bull Markets After all, deeper pullbacks afford better prices for entries But it's not about the pullback depth we desire but about the pullback depth that is reasonably probable based on where Bitcoin is in the cycle Take the previous 2022-2025 cycle: Bitcoin only saw over -30% retraces in the Post-Halving period Pre-Halving retraces were much shallower, just over -20% each time Early-stage Bull Markets offer shallow pullbacks but those pullbacks are great opportunities for the long-run $BTC #BitcoinView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 84575.04 / 83467.89 − 1 = +1.33%d × r = +1.33% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
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