Prediction evidence

Quoting · 17 Sept 2026, 15:54 UTC · context given to the AI

Cost of production update ⚡️ Remember early 2023? Price escaped the Floor Band, came back to TOUCH the top of it once, then never looked back. Same setup now, turns out. Back above the band since Aug 19th, and today's $76.4K is 1.51x the average floor cost. Will we come back to kiss the band once more in a 2023 rhyme? In my view, this is the worst kind of near-term 'crash' we might expect. 🟠 - - - Thanks to Simple Mining for sponsoring these posts and for hosting my hash. Details in the reply 👇 https://t.co/tHcDc7EeRm

In reply to · 23 Sept 2026, 10:45 UTC · context given to the AI

There will be a big drop. At some point, within the next few weeks, there will be the first "scary" dip. After the shift from bear to bull, you always get something like this. So far, Bitcoin has barely given any ground back at all, and has moved very strongly. Lots of 4 year cycle guys have capitulated, and I think we're likely to get one more push higher into $90k ish before we get this first big flush. Chance it happens sooner though. All i can say, is there will be one, at some point soonish. This will be a dip for buying, not a dip to sell on. You can see looking back at 2020 and 2023 that we eventually, after taking them out, came back to retested the STH cost basis and 200EMA. There is a very high chance this will happen again. Be prepared for it. If you are sidelined, that is your entry. My analysis says higher first, but this could happen any time, with the target being something around $80k or high $70k's. This drop will be caused by sidelined chasers FOMO buying and emotional late longers leveraging into the overbought levels. Don't get flushed, friends.