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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Sept 2026, 15:32 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

Gaijin

@Gaijin165

I am starting up my Challange again, 500-10k both in spots and leverage ethereum:0x808507121b80c02388fad14726482e061b8da827 is going to be our first trade. Entry: 2.367 DCA: 2.16 - 1.827 Take profit : 2.592 - 2.782 - 3.067 Stop loss : 1D close below 1.54 https://t.co/meBah4T94i

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,655 at 23 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,683 at 24 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 2683.28 / 2655.41 − 1 = +1.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “ethereum:0x808507121b80c02388fad14726482e061b8da827 is going to be our first trade.”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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