Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,638 at 23 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $83,879 at 30 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 83879.17 / 85637.71 − 1 = -2.05%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.05% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology