Prediction evidence

In reply to · 23 Sept 2026, 09:22 UTC · context given to the AI

3 months later after our call from the lows. In the quoted post, at the close of the last quarter and right at the lows during peak capitulation, I came out and said that we were starting the next quarter in a predominantly bullish macro phase. I pointed out that we have never had a new low form within the accumulation phase since BTC’s inception and challenged those calling for $40K in October, etc. I said we would be closer to $90K than $40K by the close of the next quarter. Today, we are less than 6% away from $90K and only 7 days away from the quarterly close. I married price and time, saying that price was presenting a macro R:R opportunity that comes around perhaps once in a cycle, while the time window for the bears had passed. I put this account on the line and even went as far as saying that I would stop this GeoMetric account if I was wrong. Since then, we’ve been receiving several confirmations of a reversal. I’ve covered these confirmations extensively since August, so do go through my feed if you missed them. I’ll repost a few later today. When calls that this was simply another bear market rally were still strong, I went into considerable detail explaining why I didn’t believe this was your usual bear market rally. Today, most of the loud bears have capitulated and there seems to be a broad consensus that the bear market has ended. However, as I’ve covered, all it takes is an extended consolidation or a few corrections to make people flip, panic, fear and doubt again. So expect more FUD to arrive. History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. And if our MLR indicator is anything to go by, what could play out next is a consolidation around fair value for a few months. Historically, we have never penetrated straight through fair value into an impulse higher. But neither have we interacted with fair value in the midst of a bear market. We filled our bags at the lows using the Remora accumulation framework from a contrarian stance, with no confirmations required. But from a confirmation stance, these prices and into the green box are the areas to target, with risk properly managed using the recent confirmations as your levels of protection. So this is the read currently, and we’ll continue tracking how it plays out on Whop. We’re also using MLR to scan the top 250+ altcoins, alongside the progression of OTHERS, to build confirmation-based positions in the right areas ahead of the run we’re expecting. And as always, we have invalidations in place. If BTC makes new lows, our airbags will deploy. That’s just how it is.