Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $86,457 at 23 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $81,776 at 23 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 81775.62 / 86456.51 − 1 = -5.4%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +5.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology