Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Sept 2026, 22:52 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 17 Sept 2026, 20:46 UTC · context given to the AI

$USELESS working on a fall wedge bull break https://t.co/oCvTHRRQp1

$USELESS nice follow through from falling wedge break https://t.co/Lv1prIvkm2 https://t.co/1VZ9ceit89

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $USELESS price at or after publication, $0.3486 at 22 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.2976 at 23 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC.
r = 0.2975717215464917 / 0.3486488114157024 − 1 = -14.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -14.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $USELESS ($USELESS)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$USELESS nice follow through from falling wedge break https://t.co/Lv1prIvkm2 https://t.co/1VZ9ceit89”
Confidence: 85%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3