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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Sept 2026, 13:57 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Ed_NL

@Crypto_Ed_NL

#BTC 5min chart, textbook Correction started after reaching the red box Correction finished with an impulsive bounce on bullish divergence. BOS Pullback in ABC into the discount zone Spike into the green box Bounce Target for this move: $88,000 https://t.co/cMWLkUfobD

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $86,333 at 22 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,783 at 23 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 85783 / 86333.37 − 1 = -0.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#BTC 5min chart, textbook Correction started after reaching the red box Correction finished with an impulsive bounce on bullish divergence.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

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