Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Sept 2026, 09:53 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

George

@George1Trader

Quoting · 23 Jul 2026, 08:34 UTC · context given to the AI

#btc $70k from here at least imo Reclaim $73.5k and I think we see $100k+ https://t.co/qLJ9Q8VSyR

#btc Two months later, 30% higher. Now it's all about $83k high imo. As long as we're above, up only. If we fail to hold that likely retest $70k's first. No matter what, the target is $100k.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $86,239 at 22 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,849 at 23 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 85848.88 / 86238.82 − 1 = -0.5%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#btc Two months later, 30% higher.”
Confidence: 87%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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