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Leaderboard / @ByzGeneral / 2102152846187577616:solana

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Sept 2026, 21:47 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

By

Byzantine General

@ByzGeneral

It's funny that $SOL is going straight to $140 and there's nothing that bears can do about it. https://t.co/r7YAwZJWgW

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $119.11 at 21 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $118.09 at 22 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC.
r = 118.09 / 119.11 − 1 = -0.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Solana (SOL)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “It's funny that $SOL is going straight to $140 and there's nothing that bears can do about it.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$119.11

Evaluation price

$118.09

Move

-0.9%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 16:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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