Loading…
Published 21 Sept 2026, 15:28 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:35 UTC
James Lavish
@jameslavish
Comparing the current bitcoin cycle to the 2019-21 cycle makes sense to me, as there was just too much noise and confusion surrounding bitcoin in the last bear cycle (2021-2025) due to fraud from FTX, Celsius, etc., causing a longer and deeper drawdown IMO. And so, looking at the current price versus peak to trough drawdown, I would agree that without a major overall market disruption, bitcoin should be bumping up against all-time highs again in the next 60 to 120 days. Thanks to James (@_Checkmatey_ ) for the comparison chart.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction