Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Sept 2026, 13:13 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 20 Sept 2026, 23:15 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC right angle broadening wedge https://t.co/dDunjzUTPM

$BTC bullish break of the broadening wedge, after high and tight consolidation https://t.co/tTMM2VrAhX https://t.co/dPkkrxzGyC

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $85,445 at 21 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,333 at 22 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 86333.37 / 85444.68 − 1 = +1.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC bullish break of the broadening wedge, after high and tight consolidation https://t.co/tTMM2VrAhX https://t.co/dPkkrxzGyC”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3