Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Sept 2026, 09:09 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

Quoting · 19 Aug 2026, 17:24 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC Bottom confirmed https://t.co/u7Yb8kKBaT

$BTC Another confirmation of bottom, 3D close above 365D rolling vwap, LFG. https://t.co/Hh4FGya04e https://t.co/xo1X53JEv1

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,636 at 21 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,239 at 22 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 86238.82 / 84635.5 − 1 = +1.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC Another confirmation of bottom, 3D close above 365D rolling vwap, LFG.”
Confidence: 85%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3