Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,640 at 20 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,832 at 21 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 85832.38 / 80639.59 − 1 = +6.4%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -6.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology