Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,283 at 20 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,414 at 21 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 84413.81 / 80283.01 − 1 = +5.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -5.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology