Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 Sept 2026, 14:34 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC

PlanB

@100trillionUSD

In reply to · 19 Sept 2026, 12:30 UTC · context given to the AI

@100trillionUSD What has happened in the last 10 years when the weekly price of bitcoin:native crosses above its 50 week EMA, after it spends an extended amount of time below it? See chart below. Hint: UP https://t.co/BzJ4ILH5Rk

@chewchewtrade Up indeed https://t.co/yvKxlCeVRk

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“@teslageordie Yes, I already called the end of the bear market in this Sep 1 tweet (no guarantees of course, just my opinion): https://t.co/h3FjseWyob”Repeat19 Sept 2026, 11:25 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@chewchewtrade Up indeed https://t.co/yvKxlCeVRk”
Confidence: 65%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record