Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,639 at 19 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,578 at 20 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 2577.68 / 2638.6 − 1 = -2.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology