Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,073 at 19 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,285 at 20 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 80284.56 / 81073.15 − 1 = -0.97%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.97% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology