Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $CATE price at or after publication, $0.1077 at 19 Sept 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.1145 at 20 Sept 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.11452569769267233 / 0.10766109425676827 − 1 = +6.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +6.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology