Published 18 Sept 2026, 22:11 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC
exitpump
@exitpumpBTC
In reply to · 18 Sept 2026, 21:19 UTC · context given to the AI
$btc shorts Further reasons why I am not letting go of, instead added shorts - again the OHLC construct. So another reason I like to consider to why I am personally defending a position, is because the mm's are defending a position. Even if initially wrong/execution mistake, I like to separate my emotions from what's happening. I always like to go: "Trading mistake => is it execution related, is it bias related, has bias changed". Not: "Oh no, my trade is going against me => I am wrong => maybe the market is going to keep going against me". The latter might make your subconscious mind think that you should long just because the market is (temporarily) moving against you, which is emotional trading/leads to revenge trading. Not to say I'm not wrong and the market will reverse, but I like to always align my own positions with what the market (makers) defend(s). On that exact note, OHLC is another clear case, where the quarterly OHLC still defends short positions until September 30th, and now stacked on top of that, also the biweekly until 28th of September, the triweekly until 5th of October. As per usual, this can fail, always look for more confluences, which I am presenting over the period to come. But per initial outlook, this is what keeps my plan in the lines of "red Sept" (by Quarterly OHLC and 2W OHLC) - as far as we have been milking it with 3 shorts, and longing the initial false pump too. Now you're seeing the other end of my dashboard with a compromised short/execution mistake. And if we don't get red September, initial week of Oct seems to remain defended here until the 5th which leads into the red Oct-first week if Sept is somehow green initially. Again just one confluence, but a strong one consisting of 3 separate confluences of which 2 are correlated (2W and 3W are both correlated). Today, we're still 19th of September, with at least a week of strong resistance remaining. So, logically, no time for me to exit shorts, instead hold strong and confidently, even if wrong. More confluences to come, just sharing this now as a start.@astronomer_zero lol, MMs actually provided 150m bid liquidity at 78k which set the path to a strong pump, so you didn't align with them, sounds like a bullshit nglView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 84058.72 / 81133.49 − 1 = +3.6%d × r = -3.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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