Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,100 at 18 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $80,866 at 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 80865.66 / 81099.99 − 1 = -0.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology