Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,926 at 18 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,412 at 19 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 81412.24 / 80926.37 − 1 = +0.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology