Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,735 at 18 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,073 at 19 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 81073.15 / 77734.78 − 1 = +4.29%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +4.29% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology