Prediction evidence

In reply to · 17 Sept 2026, 17:44 UTC · context given to the AI

Update on my 1k->100k FOMO challenge: I did it again, this time by maintaining conviction in what I think are 50-100x opportunities, while coins nuked alongside BTC, and adding a new "winning/escape velocity" stonk fun coin (solana:6JrR1iqPdinYTNvNPWTR2P7e2wSJ1rwdsrKGyhnzjUVr), and watching the wif community immediately adopt it (turns out organic PVE symbiotic coins get adopted with enthusiasm, not looked at with skepticism and anxiety or a vamp/PVP adversary) In detail: The past week, I ran it up from 1k -> 100k, then overshot to 220k, watched everything retrace to 70k during the post-clarity BTC nuke to range lows, but *very comfortably* held 100% of my bags, and that conviction was rewarded: I saw a local high in this @fomo challenge of 270k at 9am this morning (since, it's settled back at 190k) I've gotten a lot of comments congratulating me, with either an assumption that I'd sell and "move onto the next bag", or generally confused that I hit these high water marks, and didn't take profit, or panic sell when stuff sagged -50%, -70% (before massively rebounding) If you've followed what I've been posting the past two weeks (and I'm sorry if you have, it's been a lot) I've been *screaming* that Stonk Fun is the most asymmetrical upside opportunity, and could be the biggest PVE wealth generation event I've seen in 10 years in crypto, based not on hype or "belief", but on my identification of the best tokenomics I've ever seen, coupled with stonk being what looks like a "here to stay" revenue giant. One that's also healing Solana's culture problems, and letting uncs and plumbers win alongside newer entrants. and beyond STONK, I've identifted solana:8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS as a super high conviction play, solana:HcRLc9VDgjLeK154xDawfb1dmVJ98DoSqcwTHGqiDeJR as an amazing self-demonstrating flagship proof-of-concept coin for the ecosystem, and watched ancient wif whales/OGs instantly align behind solana:6JrR1iqPdinYTNvNPWTR2P7e2wSJ1rwdsrKGyhnzjUVr with unbridled enthusiasm, and I've put out there that I think solana:6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx, the platform, can 20x in value from here to 10B (and still look cheap!), and its reward token (solana:8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS) could be worth 1B or more (or a 50x from here), while constantly airdropping STONK (which will also go up) (ie much more than a 50x!, I'd be basically insane to sell here. Even if those bags retraced 50-70% (again, alongside very clear BTC weakness, and BTC dictates the liquidity conditions and direction of the market). I genuinely don't blame people for seeing "I think this bag goes 100x", and tuning it out. I've seen that sort of carnival-barker/snake oil salesman bull hopium before infinite times, and earlier in my trading career, been punished for believing it. People try to induce people into their bags, and then happily sell them for a 1.5-2x and move on. But I really do believe in the potential of this ecosystem and its coins. BTC is currently maybe $500 off its local lows (or less than 1%), and things are sharply higher. A lot of the bags I held that were down 70% are already 50% recovered. Clarity failed, oil is up, the fed raised rates, and warsh did his usual "i have zero aura" speech, which sent stocks sharply lower yesterday. And yet these alts are moving up. Early adopters recognize the opportunity, and the tokenomics. I think it's way too early to sell, based on the potential. I have extremely firm conviction BTC reclaims its prev ATH - and as such, I wouldn't sell BTC on a reclaim of 82k, right? I look at these the same way. We're already showing the market tip its hand, and I think these go infinitely higher the instant we get real strength. Again, we're barely off the bottom, and alts in this ecosystem are already straining at the leash to run. We continue to be at like 3-5% of bull market trading volume, and the tokenomics here massively reward volume by spinning up the flywheel. Imagining what these bags will look like at even 82k, let alone 84, 85k, 90k 100k? Beyond? Things are going to get weird, in a good way. A lot of people forgot what a real alt bull market looks like. I think one is shaping up, based on a lot of the metrics I'm looking at, including socials. Very bullish here. Highest conviction bags right now: solana:8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS solana:6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx solana:HcRLc9VDgjLeK154xDawfb1dmVJ98DoSqcwTHGqiDeJR solana:6JrR1iqPdinYTNvNPWTR2P7e2wSJ1rwdsrKGyhnzjUVr and on the RH chain side, mostly sized into: robinhood:0x39dbed3a2bd333467115de45665cc57f813c4571 robinhood:0x7163ae1b5aea2f09ebc609c52b4dcac0a7a4bc2d (doxxed OHM dev from 2021, who hired another doxxed dev, and they're building high product-market-fit defi products for this new world of PVE memecoins) I'm constantly kicking tires on new stuff, but taking my time to look for the most opportune things. Thanks for following along. To see my trades in real time, please follow me at FOMO, and consider signing up if you're interested in easy, one-swipe/click chain-abstracted trading (ie trade on sol, RH chain, others, without bridging or doing terrifying nerd comp sci stuff), and seeing thesis for a coin all in one place. Really appreciating fomo as a research/discovery layer to build conviction in coins. The below is my ref link, and you'll save 10% on fees, and the app shares a small % of your trading fees with me, which makes a meaningful difference, and is appreciated. https://t.co/D8wi1lv0F3