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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

I’M LOOKING TO BUY ETHEREUM DIPS BEFORE THE NEXT BIG MOVE. ETH bounced off the lower edge of this long-term support band. The recovery reminds me of the early stages of 2020, before the breakout and retest. While this structure holds, dips are where I’m looking to add. I want my position built before the chart looks obvious.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,468 at 17 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,596 at 18 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 2596.43 / 2468.27 − 1 = +5.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +5.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I’M LOOKING TO BUY ETHEREUM DIPS BEFORE THE NEXT BIG MOVE.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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