Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,618 at 17 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,024 at 18 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 80024.05 / 76618.24 − 1 = +4.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +4.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology