Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,403 at 17 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $84,096 at 24 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 84095.61 / 76402.92 − 1 = +10.07%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -10.07% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology