Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $HMM price at or after publication, $0.01175 at 16 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.01208 at 17 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.0120828005130201 / 0.0117535265455727 − 1 = +2.80%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.80% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology