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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Sept 2026, 15:46 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Cold Blooded Shiller

@ColdBloodShill

Quoting · 13 Sept 2026, 22:27 UTC · context given to the AI

Some interesting similarities between this failed breakout on ethereum:native and price action back in June 2025. https://t.co/FDgrTNp0qc

Take the triple lows on ethereum:native and I'm ready to get hurt again. https://t.co/omfnoPAZFr https://t.co/p9NAGlArCG

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,391 at 16 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,468 at 17 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 2468.12 / 2391.08 − 1 = +3.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +3.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Take the triple lows on ethereum:native and I'm ready to get hurt again.”
Confidence: 87%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3