Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,182 at 16 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $75,731 at 16 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 75730.91 / 76182.14 − 1 = -0.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology