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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Sept 2026, 09:27 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:38 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is right at its 50W EMA level. A weekly close below this could result in an 8%-10% correction. https://t.co/y0lzyiRECr

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,404 at 16 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,437 at 17 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2436.6 / 2403.82 − 1 = +1.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time