Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Sept 2026, 09:01 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

In reply to · 16 Sept 2026, 08:56 UTC · context given to the AI

Ethereum shorts SURGE after Clarity Act fails to pass. Not good. https://t.co/EOv8WasXAr

@cryptogoos Time to bag some more cheap $ETH

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,404 at 16 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,437 at 17 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2436.6 / 2403.82 − 1 = +1.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time