Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,930 at 15 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,556 at 16 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 75555.99 / 75930.01 − 1 = -0.49%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.49% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology