Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,909 at 15 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,689 at 16 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 75688.82 / 76909.14 − 1 = -1.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology