Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,869 at 15 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,638 at 16 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 75637.85 / 75869.26 − 1 = -0.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology